Tax defeat could trigger new recession, WH warns
Thursday, December 9, 2010
WASHINGTON (AP) — Raising the direst alarm yet, the Obama administration warned fellow Democrats on Wednesday that if they defeat the big tax-cut compromise detested by many liberals, they could jolt the nation back into recession.
President Barack Obama appealed anew for Congress to “get this done” and insisted that more congressional Democrats would climb aboard as they studied details of the $900 billion year-end measure. Several did announce support on Wednesday, but at least one said there still was “a mood to resist.”
Larry Summers, Obama’s chief economic adviser, told reporters that if the measure isn’t passed soon, it will “materially increase the risk the economy would stall out and we would have a double-dip” recession. That put the White House in the unusual position of warning its own party’s lawmakers they could be to blame for calamitous consequences if they go against the president.
With many House and Senate Republicans signaling their approval of the tax cut plan, the White House’s comments were aimed mainly at House Democrats who feel Obama went too far in yielding to Republicans’ demands for continued income tax cuts and lower estate taxes for the wealthy.
Obama says the compromise was necessary because Republicans were prepared to let everyone’s taxes rise and to block the extension of unemployment benefits for jobless Americans if they didn’t get much of what they wanted.
Economists say the recent recession officially ended in June 2009. But with unemployment at 9.8 percent, millions remain out of work or fearful of losing ground economically, and the notion of the nation falling back into a recession would strike many as chilling. It also could rattle markets and investors.
The deal Obama crafted with Senate Republican leaders would prevent the scheduled Dec. 31 expiration of all the Bush administration’s tax cuts enacted in 2001 and 2003, even though Obama had often promised to end the cuts for the highest earners.
Summers’ remarks contrasted with Obama’s comments at a news conference Tuesday. “We don’t have the danger of a double-dip recession,” the president said then, noting the impact of the 2009 stimulus bill and other measures meant to steady the economy.
Obama again urged unhappy Democrats to swallow the compromise, and denied that he went overboard to appease Republicans. “I think it is inaccurate to characterize Democrats, writ large, as quote-unquote betrayed,” he said Wednesday.
He said a number of Democrats “have said this makes sense. And I think the more they look at it, the more of them are going to say this makes sense.”
Three straight days of multi-pronged White House efforts to weaken Democrats’ resistance did appear to start having the desired effect.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other House Democratic leaders continued to remain outwardly neutral to the tax cut compromise, criticizing some aspects but stopping short of urging or predicting its demise.
Many House Democrats particularly criticized Obama’s proposed estate tax rates, which are far more generous than most Democrats had expected. The concession seemed gratuitous, said Rep. David Price, D-N.C. For now, he said, “there’s a mood to resist” the overall package.